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ACCA考试F2基础测试题:Forecasting

来源 :中华考试网 2017-06-22

  Question:Monthly sales have been found to follow a linear trend of y = 9.82 + 4.372x, where y is the number of items sold and x is the number of the month. Monthly deviations from the trend have been calculated and follow an additive model. In month 24, the seasonal variation is estimated to be plus 8.5.

  What is the forecast number of items to be sold in month 24? (to the nearest whole number.)

  A. 123

  B. 115

  C. 152

  D. 106

  The correct answer is: 123

  y = 9.82 + (4.372 × 24)

  y = 114.748

  forecast = 114.748 + 8.5

  = 123.248

  = 123

  Question:Participation by staff in the budgeting process is often seen as an aid to the creation of a realistic budget and to the motivation of staff. There are, however, limitations to the effectiveness of such participation.

  Which of the following illustrates one of these limitations?

  A. Staff suggestions may be based on local knowledge

  B. Staff suggestions may be ignored leading to de-motivation

  C. Budgetary slack can be built in by senior manager as well as staff

  D. Participation allows staff to buy into the budget

  The correct answer is: Staff suggestions may be ignored leading to de-motivation

  Staff suggestions may be ignored leading to de-motivation. Psuedo-participation occurs when managers pretend to involve staff but actually ignore their input. This may lead to a less realistic budget and will certainly be de-motivating if the staff involved find out what is going on.

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